Simulated strategy results.
CSV-backed simulated trade results for BTC, ETH, and SOL. Each result is shown with its exported date range, sizing, and cost limitations.
Hypothetical, pre-cost results—not a forecast of live performance.
CSV-derived performance
The result at a glance.
Recalculated from the exit rows in the supplied CSV. The export records $0.00 in commission; no additional execution costs are deducted here. Summed rounded rows differ from the exported cumulative total by $0.18.
Pre-cost return
+3,444.91%
+$3,444,913.50 simulated P&L
Simulated equity
$3,544,913.50
From $100,000 initial capital
Closed trades
10,567
No open position in the export
Win rate
35.82%
3,785 wins · 5,850 losses · 932 flat
Profit factor
2.21
Gross profit ÷ gross loss
Max drawdown
−0.85%
Peak-to-trough closed equity · $27,437.70
Closed-trade curve
+$3,444,913.50
07 Oct 2026
| Date | Pre-cost P&L | Simulated equity |
|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun 2026 | $1,836.39 | $101,836.39 |
| 08 Jun 2026 | $171,447.83 | $271,447.83 |
| 14 Jun 2026 | $212,196.39 | $312,196.39 |
| 20 Jun 2026 | $257,321.52 | $357,321.52 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | $328,702.78 | $428,702.78 |
| 02 Jul 2026 | $404,832.94 | $504,832.94 |
| 08 Jul 2026 | $459,873.75 | $559,873.75 |
| 14 Jul 2026 | $520,951.40 | $620,951.40 |
| 20 Jul 2026 | $572,412.75 | $672,412.75 |
| 26 Jul 2026 | $611,786.10 | $711,786.10 |
| 01 Aug 2026 | $665,431.75 | $765,431.75 |
| 07 Aug 2026 | $718,966.75 | $818,966.75 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | $740,263.70 | $840,263.70 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | $835,694.40 | $935,694.40 |
| 25 Aug 2026 | $1,273,368.90 | $1,373,368.90 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | $1,487,555.60 | $1,587,555.60 |
| 06 Sept 2026 | $1,740,686.90 | $1,840,686.90 |
| 12 Sept 2026 | $2,025,451.40 | $2,125,451.40 |
| 18 Sept 2026 | $2,441,227.20 | $2,541,227.20 |
| 24 Sept 2026 | $2,825,361.20 | $2,925,361.20 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | $3,160,887.50 | $3,260,887.50 |
| 06 Oct 2026 | $3,447,398.50 | $3,547,398.50 |
| 07 Oct 2026 | $3,444,913.50 | $3,544,913.50 |
Starting capital
$100,000
Simulated equity
$3,544,913.50
Observation
Sampled daily closes · closed trades only
Monthly ledger
Monthly pre-cost P&L
Junefrom 02 Jun
3,279 trades · 38.76% win rate
+$361,307
+361.31% on opening equity
July
1,782 trades · 33.33% win rate
+$304,860
+66.09% on opening equity
August
2,362 trades · 35.73% win rate
+$821,389
+107.21% on opening equity
September
2,694 trades · 34.3% win rate
+$1,673,332
+105.4% on opening equity
Octoberthrough 07 Oct
450 trades · 33.78% win rate
+$284,026
+8.71% on opening equity
Outcome profile
Supporting statistics
Average trade
$326.01
Mean pre-cost P&L per closed position
Average win / loss
$1,663.23 / −$487.25
Across 3,785 wins and 5,850 losses
Longest streaks
12W / 14L
Consecutive closed outcomes
Break-even friction
2.70 bps
$0 commission is recorded in the export
2.21×
profit factor
Execution-cost sensitivity
Break-even friction: 2.70 bps per round trip
View scenarios
Execution-cost sensitivity
Break-even friction: 2.70 bps per round trip
The export compounds almost the full closed equity into each trade, producing $12.76B in summed position value. At approximately 2.70 bps, modeled friction consumes the pre-cost profit.
0 bps
+$3,444,914
CSV result
0.50 bps
+$2,806,715
1 bps
+$2,168,517
2 bps
+$892,120
2.70 bps
−$1,358
Near break-even
3 bps
−$384,277
Illustrative only. This does not model venue tiering, maker/taker mix, spread, latency, funding, or market impact.
Methodology & risk
What the result does—and does not—show.
Open any note for definitions and limitations supported by the exported trade data.
01Export coverage
The supplied CSV contains simulated trade rows from 02 Jun 2026 to 07 Oct 2026. It does not contain the underlying market-data feed, so no longer test period or source-data resolution is claimed here.
02Closed-trade accounting
Return, win rate, profit factor, and drawdown are recalculated from 10,567 exit rows. Standard peak-to-trough closed-equity drawdown is 0.85% ($27,437.70); that amount is 27.44% of initial capital. Portfolio-level intratrade drawdown cannot be derived from the exported trade rows alone.
03No commission is recorded
Every commission field is zero. On $12.76B of summed position value, approximately 2.70 bps of round-trip friction per trade consumes the exported profit. Other execution costs are not separately recorded in the CSV and can materially change the result.
04Compounded position sizing
Exported position value grows from $100K to $3.5M, consistent with deploying almost 100% of compounded closed equity per trade. This materially amplifies both the return and capital exposure.
05Research, not a performance guarantee
Results are hypothetical and depend on the exported trade data, model assumptions, and execution conditions. Past simulated performance does not predict future returns.
Trade evidence
Every closed trade.
| Trade | Closed at | Exit price | Pre-cost P&L | Cumulative P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #10,560 | 06 Oct 2026 · 21:50:31 | $85,740.00 | −$1,242.52 | $3,451,126.50 |
| #10,561 | 06 Oct 2026 · 21:55:56 | $85,710.00 | −$1,242.52 | $3,449,884.00 |
| #10,562 | 06 Oct 2026 · 22:19:45 | $85,680.00 | −$1,242.52 | $3,448,641.50 |
| #10,563 | 06 Oct 2026 · 22:41:22 | $85,620.00 | −$1,242.96 | $3,447,398.50 |
| #10,564 | 06 Oct 2026 · 23:04:39 | $85,620.00 | +$1,243.39 | $3,448,642.00 |
| #10,565 | 06 Oct 2026 · 23:21:46 | $85,590.00 | −$1,243.39 | $3,447,398.50 |
| #10,566 | 07 Oct 2026 · 00:02:50 | $85,710.00 | −$1,241.22 | $3,446,157.20 |
| #10,567 | 07 Oct 2026 · 00:47:38 | $85,500.00 | −$1,243.83 | $3,444,913.50 |